Why I don’t make predictions

January 2, 2010

Future or Bust!

I’m not really into making predictions. Partly because I’m much more interested in the second-order effects than the first-order effects, and it’s pretty much impossible to correctly pluck those out of the chaos of possible futures (although it’s fun to watch them coalesce). But mostly because, in the words of Alan Kay, “The best way to predict the future is to invent it.” And I’m fortunate in that I get to work with, talk to, learn from and teach people who are doing exactly that.

Come out to the zed equals zee happy hour and join us!

Image credit: Future or Bust! by Flickr user Vermin Inc, reposted here under its Creative Commons license.

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